Objective evidence would be very challenging as everyone rides each bike in different conditions with different techniques and lubes etc. The key benefit for me is you always know that the chain you are swapping out will mesh well, unlike when you put the third chain onto a drivetrain by the chain wear monitoring method.
With several rotating chains you can ultimately run the cassette and ring into the ground for much longer than you could if you were relying upon putting a new chain onto the end of life drivetrain.
Putting the question back to you, is there any reason that there is increased life/cost from just rotating a new chain when a wear point is reached ?
Objective evidence does require controlling the variables other than the one in question, A single rider experience with the two proposed approaches (the experiment) over time, would be a suitable start.
While I accept your theory, its just that, no evidence (
always know that the chain you are swapping out,
will mesh with and ultimately run the cassette and ring into the ground for
much longer ?).
At least this guy has data:
http://aushiker.com/bicycle_chain_wear/
The dodged question, is well, interesting.
As I stated (post #11), personally I found little difference (road/touring/Audax/ commuting admittedly) to the rotating chain versus ride 'em 'till they weep approach. I got 3 chains to a cassette (caveat, I did bin the cassette if it was was past it - pre-emptive of the chain skip senario) and did chain rings out of sympathy. I do clean the drivetrain regularly however.
MTB: I get two chains per cassette depending on the winter conditions (have lunched a complete drivetrain on a wet, muddy 24 hr event).
All things being equal quality chains and cassettes last longer than budget. I generally find SRAM stuff less durable than Shimano as well, but I like the feel of a SRAM drivetrain so mix 'n' match to get the best of both worlds..
I have had good performance from my $30 online XT chains and out of curiosity will next try a $50 (on special) KMC SL to see if the hype is correct.
Lube and clean 1 chain and replace 3 times...
Lube and clean 3 chains and replace once...
Do whatever you like because nobody has any evidence that one is better than the other
This is the real and salient point.
Opinions (and theories) are fine, but evidence is everything.
If you want a robust cassette get the steel Alivio ones and they are really cheap. The only down fall is the weight.
And don't last as long as XT, $ corrected.
Tried them touring , commuting and XC. XT is definitely the sweet spot for performance/$.